Dongbin Kim

Time series forecasting is crucial for applications across multiple domains and various scenarios. Although Transformers have dramatically advanced the landscape of forecasting, their effectiveness remains debated. Recent findings have indicated that simpler linear models might outperform complex Transformer-based approaches, highlighting the potential for more streamlined architectures. In this paper, we shift the focus from evaluating the overall Transformer architecture to specifically examining the effectiveness of self-attention for time series forecasting. To this end, we introduce a new architecture, Cross-Attention-only Time Series transformer (CATS), that rethinks the traditional transformer framework by eliminating self-attention and leveraging cross-attention mechanisms instead. By establishing future horizon-dependent parameters as queries and enhanced parameter sharing, our model not only improves long-term forecasting accuracy but also reduces the number of parameters and memory usage. Extensive experiment across various datasets demonstrates that our model achieves superior performance with the lowest mean squared error and uses fewer parameters compared to existing models. The implementation of our model is available at: https://github.com/dongbeank/CATS.

Watermarking is a central tool for provenance in generative models, yet its application to multivariate time series remains hindered by reliability failures under post-editing attacks. We show that existing detectors, which rely on globally coupled re-encoding, suffer from bidirectional drift of the null distribution: post-editing attacks can shift the z-score of non-watermarked samples in either direction, invalidating clean-calibrated thresholds. We argue that this instability is a property of the re-encoding, and that reliable detection requires each recovered unit to depend only on a bounded temporal neighborhood. Guided by this principle, we propose L-VQVAE, a generative model in which each discrete token is produced from a short contiguous window, and LVQMark, a watermarking method over this token space that combines logit-bias injection with robust re-encoding for attack-time detection. Experiments on four benchmarks spanning finance, energy, and neuroimaging show that our approach preserves generation quality while stabilizing both detection power and false-positive behavior under post-editing attacks.

Time series imputation is a crucial area for reliable time series analysis, yet it remains challenging due to the complex temporal dynamics and noise of real-world data. Existing approaches, however, exhibit two limitations: missing and observed values are embedded within the same representation space without explicit structural separation, and continuous diffusion-based methods are trained to predict added noise rather than the original signal. To address these, we propose the Masked Diffusion Time-series Imputation Model (MDTIM), which leverages the training paradigm of masked diffusion model for imputation tasks. The MASK token is structurally orthogonal to valid observations, and the model directly predicts the original values, naturally aligning both the representation and the learning objective with the imputation task. To bridge the gap between discrete masked diffusion and the continuous, ordinal nature of time series, we further introduce Stochastic Discretization, which maps continuous values to ordinal-aware tokens while preserving continuous dynamics. Our experiments on diverse benchmarks confirm that MDTIM achieves superior robustness and scalability, consistently outperforming state-of-the-art deterministic and generative baselines across various missing scenarios.